Pricing stress test
The Pricing & Margin Lab (/labs/pricing) helps you answer: “If weather, rot, and dump delays hit, do I still make money?”
Free for everyone: basic quote math
Section titled “Free for everyone: basic quote math”As you move sliders or type exact numbers, ArborBuddy instantly updates:
- Quote to client — price needed for a 35% net margin after hard costs
- Your quote (now) — gross revenue from hourly rate × crew × hours + fees
- Hard costs, net profit, and net margin %
- Margin health badge (healthy / tight / risk)
This math never counts against sandbox quota.
Stress test: AI coach + histogram
Section titled “Stress test: AI coach + histogram”The 2,000-run stress test simulates thousands of “what if” job days (weather, rot, dump delays) and adds:
- AI Coach — actionable guidance on margin floor and risk
- Worst-to-best profit range (p10 / median / p90)
- Profit probability histogram — green bars = above your margin floor
Sandbox users
Section titled “Sandbox users”- Click Run stress test when inputs look right — only this button uses quota
- Changing sliders after a run clears stress-test results until you run again
- You get 5 free stress tests per sandbox company
Foreman+ users
Section titled “Foreman+ users”- Stress-test preview updates live as you adjust inputs (optimization mode)
- Click Save scenario to persist a full 2,000-run test to your business profile for preference learning
Inputs explained
Section titled “Inputs explained”| Input | What it models |
|---|---|
| Hourly rate | Billable crew rate on the job |
| Crew size | Climbers + ground on site |
| Job hours | Billable hours for the scope |
| Disposal fees | Dump / tip fees |
| Equipment rental | Chipper, lift, etc. |
Use +10% complexity buffer when rot, tight access, or storm cleanup adds risk.